Analyzing Amateur Baseball Talent as it pertains to the MLB Draft

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Free Agent Draft Compensation

35 free agents were accepted arbitration as of the 11 PM CST deadline on 11/23/10, which represents the maximum number of players that can effect the draft order for the 2011 draft. Three of those players (as listed below) have already signed with new teams.

I'm going to break down the free agents and how they effect the draft order into three categories: The list of free agents and their respective Elias Bureau rankings (which may change over the next week as players have the opportunity to accept or decline arbitration), the list of free agents that have already signed with other teams, and the projected sandwich round order.

Please stay tuned to this feature as I will update it over the offseason as free agents accept/decline arbitration and sign with other teams.

Updated 11/30/2010

Free Agent Elias Rankings

Type A Free Agents:

Jayson Werth -- 91.807 - Phillies
Rafael Soriano -- 91.799 - Rays
Cliff Lee -- 87.500 - Rangers
Victor Martinez -- 87.054 - Red Sox (signed with the Tigers)
Carl Crawford -- 85.128 - Rays
Adrian Beltre -- 81.633 - Red Sox
Paul Konerko -- 78.095 - White Sox
Scott Downs -- 76.352 - Blue Jays
Carl Pavano -- 75.568 - Twins
Jorge de la Rosa -- 74.422 - Rockies (re-signed with the Rockies)
Adam Dunn -- 74.167 - Nationals
Jason Frasor -- 73.383 - Blue Jays
Frank Francisco -- 73.171 - Rangers
Grant Balfour -- 72.923 - Rays

Type B Free Agents:

Javier Vazquez -- 71.970 - Yankees
Jon Garland -- 71.947 - Padres (signed with the Dodgers)
Brad Hawpe -- 70.769 - Rays
Orlando Hudson -- 70.238 - Twins
Felipe Lopez -- 67.532 - Red Sox
John Buck -- 67.411 - Blue Jays (signed with the Marlins)
Kevin Gregg -- 66.967 - Blue Jays
Joaquin Benoit -- 66.879 - Rays (signed with the Tigers)
Pedro Feliciano -- 66.855 - Mets
Octavio Dotel -- 66.473 - Rockies
Juan Uribe -- 65.608 - Giants (signed with the Dodgers)
Miguel Olivo -- 65.251 - Blue Jays
Yorvit Torrealba -- 63.900 - Padres (signed with the Rangers)
Trevor Hoffman -- 62.829 - Brewers
Randy Choate -- 62.460 - Rays
J.J. Putz -- 62.213 - White Sox
Adam LaRoche -- 61.667 - D-Backs
Jesse Crain -- 60.657 - Twins
Aaron Heilman -- 58.420 - D-Backs
Kevin Correia -- 57.591 - Padres
Chad Qualls -- 56.168 - Rays

Free Agent Compensation

• Red Sox receive the Tigers’ first-round pick (#19 overall) and a supplemental first-round pick for Victor Martinez
• Blue Jays receive a supplemental first-round pick for John Buck
• Rays receive a supplemental first-round pick for Joaquin Benoit
• Padres receive a supplemental first-round pick for Jon Garland
• Giants receive a supplemental first-round pick for Juan Uribe
• Padres receive a supplemental first-round pick for Yorvit Torrealba

Sandwich Round Order

Type A Free Agents:

34. Nationals (Dunn)
35. Blue Jays (Downs)
36. White Sox (Konerko)
37. Red Sox (Martinez)
38. Rangers (Lee)
39. Twins (Pavano)
40. Rays (Soriano)
41. Phillies (Werth)
42. Blue Jays (Frasor)
43. Red Sox (Beltre)
44. Rangers (Francisco)
45. Rays (Crawford)
46. Rays (Balfour)

Type B Free Agents:

47. D-Backs (LaRoche)
48. Brewers (Hoffman)
49. Mets (Feliciano)
50. Rockies (Dotel)
51. Blue Jays (Gregg)
52. White Sox (Putz)
53. Red Sox (Lopez)
54. Padres (Garland)
55. Giants (Uribe)
56. Twins (Hudson)
57. Yankees (Vazquez)
58. Rays (Hawpe)
59. D-Backs (Heilman)
60. Blue Jays (Buck)
61. Padres (Torrealba)
62. Twins (Crain)
63. Rays (Benoit)
64. Blue Jays (Olivo)
65. Padres (Correia)
66. Rays (Choate)
67. Rays (Qualls)

Be sure to visit the Raw Draft Order to see how the draft stacks up without free agent compensation. I will update this list once all of the free agents have signed and the final draft order has been determined.

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Dandy Dozen

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Dylan Bundy Muscularly built prep RHP with + FB/SL
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Michael Kelly Projectable RHP w/ polished power arsenal
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Jed Bradley Big lefty shows + command of good stuff
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Austin Wood Big, power arm needs polish, experience
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Danny Hultzen Smooth lefty hits spots, changes speeds
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Nick Burdi Sinker-slider RHP follows Folty, Odorizzi
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Jose Fernandez Big bodied RHP throwing 97 recently
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Trevor Bauer Lincecum-esque with low-90s FB, + CB
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Ryan Carpenter Big lefty with good stuff needs consistency
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Tyler Beede Prep RHP screams projectability
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Henry Owens Tall, lanky LH - good stuff, great moxie

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