Analyzing Amateur Baseball Talent as it pertains to the MLB Draft

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2010 Free Agent Draft Compensation

23 free agents were offered arbitration that could effect draft pick compensation for the 2010 draft. We have another week to learn which free agents accept aribtration, which will tie them to their 2009 teams and remove them from the lists provided below. Usually only a small handful (two to three) players actually accept arbitration, although some of these free agents may still sign with their 2009 teams even if they decline arby.

Update: Type A free agents Rafael Soriano and Rafael Betancourt, as well as Type B free agent Carl Pavano, accepted arbitration from the Braves, Rockies and Twins respectively.

I intend to update this list as the free agents sign, and will update the draft order, as linked above, once all of the free agents have signed. Please refer to the draft order page for the raw draft order.

Note: The Elias rankings for the Type A free agents have been released. I have been unable to find the rankings for the 13 Type B free agents, so they are currently listed alphabetically. If you are aware of their official rankings, please feel free to email me, although their ratings aren't really that important since that rating doesn't effect compensatory picks issued in the supplemental rounds. Compensatory picks are awarded to teams losing Type A free agents first, with each team, starting with the worse team from the season before that loses a Type A free agent through the best, getting a compensatory pick before teams with two or more such free agents in each division (Type A or B) get another pick. Then, compensatory picks for lost Type B free agents are distributed in the same fashion.

Type A Free Agents

1. Matt Holliday 95.960
2. Jose Valverde 89.874
3. Jason Bay 89.859
4. Mike Gonzalez 84.268
5. John Lackey 83.865
6. Marcos Scutaro 83.069
7. Billy Wagner 76.377
8. Chone Figgins 73.684

Billy Wagner signed with the Atlanta Braves. The Boston Red Sox receive the Braves first-round pick (20th overall) and a supplemental first-round pick.

Chone Figgins signed with the Seattle Mariners. The Los Angeles Angels receive the Mariners first-round pick (18th overall) and a supplemental first-round pick.

Marcos Scutaro signed with the Boston Red Sox. The Toronto Blue Jays receive the Red Sox second-round pick (TBD, see chart below) and a supplemental first-round pick.

John Lackey signed with the Boston Red Sox. The Los Angeles Angels receive the Red Sox first-round pick (29th overall) and a supplemental first-round pick. The Angels, and not the Blue Jays, receive the Red Sox first-round pick because Lackey had a higher Elias ranking than Scutaro.

Mike Gonzalez signed with the Baltimore Orioles. The Atlanta Braves receive the Orioles second-round pick (TBD, see chart below) and a supplemental first-round pick.

Jason Bay signed with the New York Mets. The Boston Red Sox receive the Mets second-round pick (TBD, see chart below) and a supplemental first-round pick.

Matt Holliday re-signed with the St. Louis Cardinals.

Jose Valverde signed with the Detroit Tigers. The Houston Astros receive the Tigers first-round pick (19th overall) and a supplemental first-round pick.

Type B Free Agents

Rod Barajas
Adrian Beltre
Marlon Byrd
Mark DeRosa
Justin Duchscherer
Brandon Lyon
Jason Marquis
Joel Pineiro
Fernando Rodney
Ivan Rodriguez
Brian Shouse
Gregg Zaun

Gregg Zaun signed with the Milwaukee Brewers. The Tampa Bay Rays receive a supplemental first-round pick.

Ivan Rodriguez signed with the Washington Nationals. The Texas Rangers receive a supplemental first-round pick.

Brandon Lyon signed with the Houston Astros. The Detroit Tigers receive a supplemental first-round pick.

Jason Marquis signed with the Washington Nationals. The Colorado Rockies receive a supplemental first-round pick.

Fernando Rodney signed with the Los Angeles Angels. The Detroit Tigers receive a supplemental first-round pick.

Justin Duchscherer re-signs with the Oakland A's.

Mark DeRosa signed with the San Francisco Giants. The St. Louis Cardinals receive a supplemental first-round pick.

Marlon Byrd signed with the Chicago Cubs. The Texas Rangers receive a supplemental first-round pick.

Adrian Beltre signed with the Boston Red Sox. The Seattle Mariners receive a supplemental first-round pick.

Brian Shouse signed a minor league deal with the Boston Red Sox. The Tampa Bay Rays do not receive any compensation.

Joel Pineiro signed with the Los Angeles Angels. The St. Louis Cardinals receive a supplemental first-round pick.

Rod Barajas signed with the New York Mets. The Toronto Blue Jays receive a supplemental first-round pick.

Draft Order

As of 02/23/10, all of the free agents that can effect the draft order have signed.

First Round

1. Washington Nationals
2. Pittsburgh Pirates
3. Baltimore Orioles
4. Kansas City Royals
5. Cleveland Indians
6. Arizona Diamondbacks
7. New York Mets
8. Houston Astros
9. San Diego Padres
10. Oakland Athletics
11. Toronto Blue Jays
12. Cincinnati Reds
13. Chicago White Sox
14. Milwaukee Brewers
15. Texas Rangers for unsigned '09 pick Matthew Purke
16. Chicago Cubs
17. Tampa Bay Rays
18. Los Angeles Angels from Seattle Mariners for Chone Figgins
19. Houston Astros from Detroit Tigers for Jose Valverde
20. Boston Red Sox from Atlanta Braves for Billy Wagner
21. Minnesota Twins
22. Texas Rangers
23. Florida Marlins
24. San Francisco Giants
25. St. Louis Cardinals
26. Colorado Rockies
27. Philadelphia Phillies
28. Los Angeles Dodgers
29. Los Angeles Angeles from Boston Red Sox for John Lackey
30. Los Angeles Angels
31. Tampa Bay Rays for unsigned '09 pick LeVon Washington
32. New York Yankees

Supplemental First Round

33. Houston Astros for Jose Valverde
34. Toronto Blue Jays for Marcos Scutaro
35. Atlanta Braves for Mike Gonzalez
36. Boston Red Sox for Jason Bay
37. Los Angeles Angels for John Lackey
38. Toronto Blue Jays for unsigned '09 pick James Paxton
39. Boston Red Sox for Billy Wagner
40. Los Angeles Angels for Chone Figgins
41. Toronto Blue Jays for Rod Barajas
42. Tampa Bay Rays for Gregg Zaun
43. Seattle Mariners for Adrian Beltre
44. Detroit Tigers for Brandon Lyon
45. Texas Rangers for Ivan Rodriguez
46. St. Louis Cardinals for Mark DeRosa
47. Colorado Rockies for Jason Marquis
48. Detroit Tigers for Fernando Rodney
49. Texas Rangers for Marlon Byrd
50. St. Louis Cardinals for Joel Pineiro

Second Round

51. Washington Nationals
52. Pittsburgh Pirates
53. Atlanta Braves from Orioles for Mike Gonzalez
54. Kansas City Royals
55. Cleveland Indians
56. Arizona Diamondbacks
57. Boston Red Sox from Mets for Jason Bay
58. Houston Astros
59. San Diego Padres
60. Oakland Athletics
61. Toronto Blue Jays
62. Cincinnati Reds
63. Chicago White Sox
64. Milwaukee Brewers
65. Chicago Cubs
66. Tampa Bay Rays
67. Seattle Mariners
68. Detroit Tigers
69. Toronto Blue Jays for unsigned '09 pick Jake Eliopoulos
70. Atlanta Braves
71. Minnesota Twins
72. Texas Rangers
73. Florida Marlins
74. San Francisco Giants
75. St. Louis Cardinals
76. Colorado Rockies
77. Philadelphia Phillies
78. Los Angeles Dodgers
79. Tampa Bay Rays for unsigned '09 pick Kenny Diekroeger
80. Toronto Blue Jays from Boston Red Sox for Marcos Scutaro
81. Los Angeles Angels
82. New York Yankees

Third Round

83. Washington Nationals
84. Pittsburgh Pirates
85. Baltimore Orioles
86. Kansas City Royals
87. Cleveland Indians
88. Arizona Diamondbacks
89. New York Mets
90. Houston Astros
91. San Diego Padres
92. Oakland Athletics
93. Toronto Blue Jays
94. Cincinnati Reds
95. Chicago White Sox
96. Milwaukee Brewers
97. Chicago Cubs
98. Tampa Bay Rays
99. Seattle Mariners
100. Detroit Tigers
101. Atlanta Braves
102. Minnesota Twins
103. Texas Rangers
104. Florida Marlins
105. San Francisco Giants
106. St. Louis Cardinals
107. Colorado Rockies
108. Philadelphia Phillies
109. Los Angeles Dodgers
110. Boston Red Sox
111. Los Angeles Angels
112. New York Yankees

Supplemental Third Round

113. Toronto Blue Jays for unsigned '09 pick Jake Barrett
114. Chicago White Sox for unsigned '09 pick Bryan Morgado
115. Los Angeles Angels for unsigned '09 pick Josh Spence

Dandy Dozen

SP
Cameron Bedrosian Son of Steve with big-league curve
SP
Ryne Stanek Projectable RHP on the rise with big FB
SP
Seth Blair Sinker/slider RHP with improve velocity
SP
Zach Cates Former catcher showing big-time arm
SP
Jesse Biddle Big lefty throwing more in the 90s
CL
Kevin Munson Power closer with big FB, SL
CL
Chance Ruffin Son of Bruce has thrived in closer role
C
Kellin Deglan Good D' tools with improving lefty bat
IF
Kellen Sweeney Athletic IF with sweet lefty swing
SS
Mason Williams Speedy, toolsy former CF on the rise
OF
Drew Smyly Power prospect also strong armed QB
OF
Ryan LaMarre Five-tool CF prospect from Big Ten

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